Last week I was three for four picking
the winners of the fights, and two for four with exact
predictions (Guerrero,
Lopez). I almost got the Matth
ysse decision my way, too, so
not a bad week for picks at all. And for those who made money,
can I expect my cheque in the mail as a thank you?
On to this week. Three
notable fights on tap: Haye vs. Harrison, Rigondeaux vs.
Cordoba, and of course, Pacquiao vs. Margarito.
HAYE - HARRISON
We’ll start by going
overseas for this all-British title fight. Haye has been known
to have a questionable chin, and in his most-recent fight Audley
Harrison won in the last round via an overhand right hand that
laid out Michael Sprott. But let’s face it: This is nothing but
an easy defense for Haye that will result in a good payday.
Harrison’s only prayer is to land a flush shot. That’s about all
he can do. Harrison isn’t the type of fighter who uses his jab
enough to rack up points on the scorecards, and can’t take a
great shot himself. Haye should win by the sixth round. If
not, that’s just a testament to how poor the heavyweight
division is.
RIGONDEAUX – CORDOBA
For those who haven’t yet
seen much of Guillermo Rigondeaux, YouTube him now! Considered
to be the best amateur of all time, the Cuban has been pretty
impressive in his young career, going 6-0 (5 KOs). He can
dominate opponents from pillar to post. In Cordoba, he’s
fighting the last guy to beat Celestino Caballero. Cordoba is
young at 27, while Rigondeaux is surprisingly the older fighter
at 30. A stern test, for sure, for the Cuban. Should he win,
Rigondeaux can chase the bigger names and bigger dollars at 126,
where Lopez, Gamboa, Caballero and Chris John are campaigning.
Expect him to break Cordoba down and stop him late, somewhere
between the ninth and 11th.
PACQUIAO – MARGARITO
As horrible as this fight
is on so many levels (Margarito’s hand wrap controversy, the
catch weight of 151 pounds for a 154 pound title), it’s still
intriguing and should be entertaining. And after the struggling
year boxing has had, some entertainment will satisfy the fans
for a night. Despite the apparent and well publicized
distractions that Pacquiao has endured during this training
camp, I simply don’t think he would be entering this fight at
anything less than 100 percent. Freddie Roach would not go
public stating that his camp is falling apart if it really was.
Also, they’re now saying Manny is good to go for the fight and
is looking impressive during training sessions. While the worry
remains that the job of a congressman will steal Manny away from
boxing, he is a professional if there ever was one. He won’t go
into a major fight without being at his best, especially with
Alex Ariza and Freddie Roach in his camp.
Margarito seems to have
trained pretty well, but I’ve been watching the 24/7 HBO
episodes and to me it looks like the final few pounds will be a
battle for Margarito to lose. His weight on the third episode of
the series was 154 pounds and Margarito looked pretty trim -- a
little too trim. If he peaked early, it’ll show up during the
fight.
It’s hard to go against
Manny, and I won’t. He’s too quick, skilled and most
importantly, he’s a very smart fighter. I don’t think he’ll get
the knockout because, contrary to what his camp is saying, Manny
probably won’t trade with the bigger Margarito. He’ll use his
skills, box, and move in and out using angles to hit Antonio.
I’ll take Manny via
comfortable decision.
Another decent night for
fight fans. For the Pacquiao-Margarito ticket holders, it’s good
to know there’ll be at least a few fans walking out being
satisfied with the result of the event. Obviously, fans walking
out of Cowboy Stadium content nowadays is a rarity.